{"id":76999,"date":"2024-12-19T15:31:46","date_gmt":"2024-12-19T14:31:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lightweb.dev\/l\/svm-temp\/?p=76999"},"modified":"2024-12-19T15:31:46","modified_gmt":"2024-12-19T14:31:46","slug":"banco-de-espana-hojer-sin-tillvaxtprognos-for-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lightweb.dev\/l\/svm-temp\/nyheter\/banco-de-espana-hojer-sin-tillvaxtprognos-for-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Banco de Espa\u00f1a h\u00f6jer sin tillv\u00e4xtprognos f\u00f6r 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"

Trots de sv\u00e5ra ov\u00e4dren under h\u00f6sten har den spanska ekonomin v\u00e4xt mer \u00e4n v\u00e4ntat.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

De starka siffrorna ser ut att h\u00e5lla i sig n\u00e4sta \u00e5r ocks\u00e5 men sedan v\u00e4ntas de sjunka n\u00e5got.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Den spanska ekonomin kommer att v\u00e4xa med 3,1 procent i \u00e5r enligt den senaste prognosen fr\u00e5n Banco de Espa\u00f1a, den spanska riksbanken. Det \u00e4r 0,3 procentenheter mer \u00e4n de senaste uppgifterna som institutionen sl\u00e4ppte f\u00f6r bara tre m\u00e5nader sedan och 0,4 procentenheter h\u00f6gre \u00e4n regeringens ber\u00e4kningar. Denna tillv\u00e4xt \u00e4r 4 g\u00e5nger h\u00f6gre \u00e4n genomsnittet bland EMU-l\u00e4nderna och beror p\u00e5 den h\u00f6ga oms\u00e4ttningen i privat och offentlig sektor, som b\u00e5da varit st\u00f6rre \u00e4n v\u00e4ntat.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Man har lyckats uppn\u00e5 detta trots de fruktansv\u00e4rda ov\u00e4der som drabbat landet och lett till enorma m\u00e4nskliga katastrofer. Stormarna innebar en utbetalning av offentliga hj\u00e4lppengar som inte var planerad och \u00f6kar det offentliga underskottet. Men detta har en relativt liten inverkan p\u00e5 makroekonomisk niv\u00e5, s\u00e4ger Banco de Espa\u00f1a.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Os\u00e4kerhet kring politiken<\/span><\/h2>\n

Det sker ocks\u00e5 trots att f\u00f6retagsinvesteringarna \u00e4r relativt sm\u00e5. Enligt Banco de Espa\u00f1as statistikchef, <\/span>\u00c1ngel Gavil\u00e1n, vet man inte s\u00e4kert varf\u00f6r investeringarna inte har \u00f6kat mer de senaste \u00e5ren, trots tillg\u00e5ngen till europeiska fonder. Men en hypotes \u00e4r att os\u00e4kerhet kring regeringens ekonomiska politik g\u00f6r de spanska f\u00f6retagen mer f\u00f6rsiktiga \u00e4n de i andra j\u00e4mf\u00f6rbara l\u00e4nder. Dessutom har r\u00e4ntorna \u00f6kat de senaste tv\u00e5 \u00e5ren, men de b\u00f6rjar nu l\u00e4tta n\u00e5got.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ekonomer p\u00e5 Banco de Espa\u00f1a \u00e4r f\u00f6rv\u00e5nade \u00f6ver den kraftiga modereringen av inflationen under \u00e5rets andra halva. Den kommer att inneb\u00e4ra att \u00e5ret slutar p\u00e5 en genomsnittlig inflation p\u00e5 2,9 procent, en halv procentenhet l\u00e4gre \u00e4n f\u00f6r ett \u00e5r sedan. Inflationen v\u00e4ntas vara fortsatt l\u00e5g b\u00e5de 2025 (2,1 procent) och 2026 (1,7). 2027 tror de dock att den kommer b\u00f6rja \u00f6ka igen d\u00e5 EUs nya system f\u00f6r handel med utsl\u00e4ppsr\u00e4tter inf\u00f6rs men de p\u00e5pekar ocks\u00e5 att det fortfarande finns en \u201cextraordin\u00e4r grad av os\u00e4kerhet\u201d kring vad detta kommer att inneb\u00e4ra.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Riksbanken<\/span> underskottsprognos f\u00f6r \u00e5ret ligger p\u00e5 3,4 procent vilket \u00e4r 0,4 procentenheter h\u00f6gre \u00e4n regeringens. Detta beror framf\u00f6rallt p\u00e5 de \u00e5tg\u00e4rder som sattes in som svar p\u00e5 h\u00f6stens ov\u00e4der.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Faktum \u00e4r att Banco de Espa\u00f1a och regerings prognoser skiljer sig avsev\u00e4rt \u00e4ven n\u00e4sta \u00e5r. Medan Pedro S\u00e1nchez lovar EU ett underskott p\u00e5 2,5 procent av BNP tror <\/span>riksbanken<\/span> att det kommer att ligga p\u00e5 2,9. 2026 skiljer det sig \u00e4nnu mer d\u00e5 regeringen v\u00e4ntar sig 2,1 procent och Banco de Espa\u00f1a 2,7.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Vad g\u00e4ller \u00e5rets siffror tror dock Gavil\u00e1n att EU inte kommer att ta med stora delar d\u00e5 de \u00e4r \u201ckortvariga\u201d p\u00e5 grund av katastrofen men detta kan \u201cinte garanteras\u201d.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00e4sta \u00e5rs tillv\u00e4xt<\/span><\/h3>\n

Vad g\u00e4ller tillv\u00e4xten n\u00e4sta \u00e5r har <\/span>riksbanken<\/span> \u00f6kat sin prognos med 0,3 procentenheter till 2,5 procent. Det \u00e4r 0,1 procentenheter mer \u00e4n vad regeringen tror p\u00e5.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Man tror dock att det bara \u00e4r en tidsfr\u00e5ga innan denna h\u00f6ga tillv\u00e4xt stannar av, framf\u00f6rallt d\u00e5 taket snart \u00e4r n\u00e5tt vad g\u00e4ller \u00f6kande utl\u00e4ndska pengar in i den spanska ekonomin. \u201cTurismen f\u00f6rv\u00e5nade genom att \u00e5terigen \u00f6ka 2024 till f\u00f6ljd av det uppd\u00e4mda behovet efter pandemin och f\u00f6r\u00e4ndrade resem\u00f6nster, men den \u00f6kningen saktar ner,\u201d s\u00e4ger Gavil\u00e1n. Det betyder att turismen kommer att forts\u00e4tta vara en nyckelfaktor f\u00f6r Spaniens BNP och den \u201ckommer inte att minska\u201d, men den kommer inte att bidra till tillv\u00e4xten lika mycket fram\u00f6ver.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Trots de sv\u00e5ra ov\u00e4dren under h\u00f6sten har den spanska ekonomin v\u00e4xt mer \u00e4n v\u00e4ntat.\u00a0De starka siffrorna ser ut att h\u00e5lla i sig n\u00e4sta \u00e5r ocks\u00e5 men sedan v\u00e4ntas de sjunka n\u00e5got.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":61664,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[351,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-76999","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi-nyheter","category-nyheter"],"yoast_head":"\nBanco de Espa\u00f1a h\u00f6jer sin tillv\u00e4xtprognos f\u00f6r 2024 - Svenska Magasinet<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Banco de Espa\u00f1a h\u00f6jer sin tillv\u00e4xtprognos f\u00f6r 2024\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Trots de sv\u00e5ra ov\u00e4dren under h\u00f6sten har den spanska ekonomin v\u00e4xt mer \u00e4n v\u00e4ntat.\u00a0De starka siffrorna ser ut att h\u00e5lla i sig n\u00e4sta \u00e5r ocks\u00e5 men sedan v\u00e4ntas de sjunka n\u00e5got.\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/lightweb.dev\/l\/svm-temp\/artiklar\/ekonomi\/banco-de-espana-hojer-sin-tillvaxtprognos-for-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Svenska Magasinet\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/svenskamagasinet\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-12-19T14:31:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/lightweb.dev\/l\/svm-temp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Banco_de_Espana_Madrid_06-stor.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"815\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Robbie Eriksson\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@SvenskaMagasine\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@SvenskaMagasine\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lightweb.dev\\\/l\\\/svm-temp\\\/artiklar\\\/ekonomi\\\/banco-de-espana-hojer-sin-tillvaxtprognos-for-2024\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lightweb.dev\\\/l\\\/svm-temp\\\/artiklar\\\/ekonomi\\\/banco-de-espana-hojer-sin-tillvaxtprognos-for-2024\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Robbie Eriksson\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lightweb.dev\\\/l\\\/svm-temp\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/caffe038990d25722f5a04a03c906a2b\"},\"headline\":\"Banco de Espa\u00f1a h\u00f6jer sin tillv\u00e4xtprognos f\u00f6r 2024\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-12-19T14:31:46+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lightweb.dev\\\/l\\\/svm-temp\\\/artiklar\\\/ekonomi\\\/banco-de-espana-hojer-sin-tillvaxtprognos-for-2024\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":639,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lightweb.dev\\\/l\\\/svm-temp\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lightweb.dev\\\/l\\\/svm-temp\\\/artiklar\\\/ekonomi\\\/banco-de-espana-hojer-sin-tillvaxtprognos-for-2024\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lightweb.dev\\\/l\\\/svm-temp\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/02\\\/Banco_de_Espana_Madrid_06-stor.jpeg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Ekonomi\",\"Nyheter\"],\"inLanguage\":\"sv-SE\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lightweb.dev\\\/l\\\/svm-temp\\\/artiklar\\\/ekonomi\\\/banco-de-espana-hojer-sin-tillvaxtprognos-for-2024\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lightweb.dev\\\/l\\\/svm-temp\\\/artiklar\\\/ekonomi\\\/banco-de-espana-hojer-sin-tillvaxtprognos-for-2024\\\/\",\"name\":\"Banco de Espa\u00f1a h\u00f6jer sin tillv\u00e4xtprognos f\u00f6r 2024 - 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